Applying the basic SIR model to understand the outbreak of COVID-19
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Abstract
This paper applies the basic compartmental SIR model to explain the transmission dynamics of an pandemic like COVID-19. COVID-19 has created an alarming situation for the whole human kind. Researchers around the world are trying to demystify the prevailed global health emergency and come up with some effective solution. We attempt to implement the basic SIR model to show the spread of the disease. Further, we compared the level of spread of the disease on basis of basic reproduction number. Basic reproduction number is very important measure in order to quantify the proliferation of an infectious illness over the time. One of main assumptions of the model is a recovered person generates immunity towards the disease. Then we have suggested the ways to control the outbreak and normalise the prevailing situation.
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